There was a significant fall in mortgage approvals last month, with transactions returning to levels last seen – excluding the Covid period – during the global financial crisis, the latest Bank of England data reveals.
According to the data, 35,612 mortgages were approved last month, down from 46,186 in November.
Excluding the Covid-19 pandemic when lockdowns brought the housing market to a standstill, it was the lowest reading since January 2009, when Britain faced a steep recession.
Ashley Webb, economist at Capital Economics, said: “Overall, the cumulative downward effect from higher interest rates appears to be starting to weigh more heavily on the economy.
“And given the large share of fixed-rate mortgages, this effect is only going to grow throughout this year.”
The BoE is widely expected to raise interest rates again tomorrow to 4% from 3.5%.
Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank commented: “Housing market data from December is largely redundant given how early buyers and sellers stopped for Christmas due to the volatility sparked by the mini-Budget. Activity has bounced back in January and the next few weeks will show whether this is short-lived or there is some momentum in the system.
“So far, buyers and sellers seem to have accepted that there is a new normal for mortgage rates and that the main cause is the Bank of England rather than a poorly-received government plan to cut taxes.”
The transaction slowdown began in October 21; completion have been running at about 2/3rds of pre covid levels for over 12 months.
Its the same pattern that was noticeable in 2007 ahead of Fannie Mae.
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